Global Warming
•
What is it?
•
What
’
s causing it?
Lake Powell, Colorado River
CO2: one of the
main heat-
trapping gases.
Its concentration
in the
atmosphere,
past 250 yrs.
Past 10,000 yrs
It
’
s
getting
warmer
Hottest years:
2014
2010
2005
1998
Hottest decade:
2001-2010
IPCC
NASA
Glacier nat park, Montanna-1
Glacier Nat Park,
Montana:
melting
1850: 150 named
glaciers.
2007: 26.
2030: 0 expected
Alaska: melting
Austria: melting
HIMALAYAS: MELTING.
Mt. Everes (left), 1921 and 2007
Arctic: melting.
1979 and 2003
Expected to be ice-
free in summer by
2030.
Reflectivity feedback
could have serious
consequences for
Greenland
.
Greenland surface
melt extent.
Complete melting: 24 ft
sea-level rise.
The West Antarctic
ice sheet is melting
Would raise sea
levels 16 feet
Would take a few
centuries
May be already
unstoppable
• To see what this means, let
’
s turn to the past.
• 800,000 years of climate history.
• The
“
Pleistocene
”
: 2.5 Mya – today.
• CO2 was ~180 to 300 ppm.
present
interglacial
Temperature (red)
CO2 (blue)
Temperature (red)
CO2 (blue)
Today
’
s CO2 concentration:
above 400 ppm!
To see what 400 ppm means …
… we must go back before the
ice ages (2.5 Mya to today):
•
Pliocene era
, 5 Mya - 2.5 Mya.
•
Poles much warmer, tropics slightly warmer.
•
Temperatures were 6 deg F warmer.
•
Sea levels 70 feet higher.
The last time CO2 concentration
was ~ 400 ppm:
Will the CO2 spike
be the icon of a new
geological age?
Many geologists
have already named
it:
The Anthropocene
Is this what you want
for your
grandchildren?
It
’
s a moral issue.
THANK
YOU!
ART HOBSON
ahobson@uark.edu
Website:
physics.uark.edu/hobson
We
’
re all in this together!
Thank you