Projections include the following assumptions:
•Demographic growth of approx. 1% per Year (2014-2022 = 27)
•Projected growth as of 12/31/13 (2014-2022 = 120) – transition from child to adult
•Inflation of 1.1% per Year (Changed 10/2015)
•Adding 1 Service Consultant every other year.
•Includes ageing caregiver – 1 per year
•Model includes new funding model for pre-school
•Uses the OACB Proposal of $220K in 2016 and $330K in 2017 for TPPTreplacement, should plan for $0 in 2018.
•Capital Investment in 2016 of $300,000 for expansion of HLC and SSA
•Starting numbers are budget for 2016 and year end from 2015
•Required Reserves = 40% of Operating Budget, due to q1 payment for MedicaidMatch to WestCon.
Summary:
•Model shows new tax money not required until 2019 -20 (on the ballot in 2019)
•This is just a projection tool that is based on current financial components and anumber of assumptions. Changes to any of these assumptions will impact themodel either positively or negatively.
•Revenue may be understated for 2016, by almost $800K, based upon 2015
•This model should be used as planning tool only.