NOAA and HurricanesMeeting the Challenge
Scott Kiser – NOAA’s NWS Tropical CycloneProgram Manager
Scott Carter – NOAA Legislative Affairs
“Taking the pulse of the planet”
•Growing coastal population andinfrastructure
•Increase in tropical cyclone activity
Facing the Challenges
“Taking the pulse of the planet”
•Improved physics
•Coupling the atmosphere with theocean
•HWRF – model of the future
Meeting the ChallengesModel Improvements
“Taking the pulse of the planet”
•Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT)
•Mission: To transfer more rapidly andsmoothly new technology, researchresults, and observational advancesinto improved tropical cyclone analysisand prediction at operational centers.
•NOAA, Navy, and NASA
Meeting the ChallengesResearch to Operations
“Taking the pulse of the planet”
Meeting the ChallengesProbabilistic Information
Wind SpeedWind Speed
ProbabilityProbability
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ProductProduct
“Taking the pulse of the planet”
Meeting the ChallengesProbabilistic Information
Wind SpeedWind Speed
ProbabilityProbability
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ProductProduct
“Taking the pulse of the planet”
Meeting the ChallengesIncreased Data Collection
•GI-V, P-3, and USAFRaircraft
–Reconnaissance
–Surveillance
•Dropwindsondes
•SFMR
“Taking the pulse of the planet”
•Training of local, state, federal andinternational emergency managers
•Hurricane Awareness Tours
•Internet
•Continue and strengthen partnershipswith media, private weather sector, andemergency management
Meeting the ChallengesEducation, Outreach & Partnerships
“Taking the pulse of the planet”
•Come a long way in hurricaneprediction
•Remain vulnerable to a hurricanecatastrophe
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV
Final Thoughts